Denver Summit W vs Boston Legacy W

Denver Summit W at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Boston Legacy W on the road, with 5W 4D 6L versus 5W 4D 8L. Their goal profile is also marginally better, scoring 21 and conceding 20 compared with Boston’s 18 scored and 23 conceded, which supports a home edge rather than a clear mismatch. Recent form is mixed for both sides, but Denver’s sequence WLDWL includes two wins in the last five, while Boston’s DWWLW includes two wins as well, with one more draw in their run. That balance aligns with the probabilities showing a home win as the most likely single outcome, though not overwhelmingly so. The match also looks fairly balanced in scoring terms. With Denver’s and Boston’s goal totals close and both defenses conceding regularly, the over 2.5 goals probability sits just under a coin-flip at 49.2%, while both teams to score is more likely at 53.2%, suggesting a game where scoring is plausible on both ends. Overall, the home win lean fits the season records and goal difference, but the draw and away win remain realistic. That’s consistent with the medium risk level and the moderate confidence score of 74, indicating a reasonable but not certain Denver advantage.