Defensor Sporting vs Wanderers

Defensor Sporting have been relatively tight at home, with 19 goals scored and 20 conceded across 22 matches, plus 6 clean sheets. Their recent form includes three draws and two losses in the last five results (DDDLW), which suggests fewer decisive, high-scoring swings. Wanderers’ away record is stronger in results than in goal output, with 29 scored and 30 conceded in 23 matches and 9 clean sheets. Their last five away results show three wins and two losses (DWWWL), but the overall goal totals still point to moderate scoring rather than frequent blowouts. With both teams’ season goal numbers close to each other and each side keeping a reasonable share of clean sheets, the match profile leans toward limited scoring. The probabilities also reflect this, with under 2.5 goals supported by the low-to-mid likelihood of over 2.5 goals (40.2%) and a moderate chance of both teams scoring (46.9%). So, an Under 2.5 Goals call fits the balance of goals and clean sheets, though it’s not a lock given Wanderers’ ability to win away and Defensor Sporting’s recent mix of results.