DC United vs Nashville SC

Nashville SC look more likely to win away, with a 46.2% away-win probability versus 27.6% for DC United at home and 26.2% for a draw. The overall records support that gap: Nashville are 12W-3D-2L compared with DC United’s 5W-7D-5L across 17 matches. Defensively, Nashville’s profile is notably stronger. They’ve conceded 12 goals and kept 8 clean sheets, while DC United have conceded 27 goals and managed 4 clean sheets. That difference aligns with Nashville’s higher win probability and also suggests DC United may struggle to prevent goals. In attack, Nashville also have the edge on output, scoring 33 goals versus DC United’s 24. With both teams to score at 55.3% and over 2.5 goals at 50.9%, the matchup looks fairly balanced in terms of scoring likelihood, but Nashville’s defensive strength tilts the result toward them. Overall, the away win call carries medium risk (confidence score 69) because the draw is still plausible and the over-2.5 and BTTS rates are only around the middle of the range rather than strongly one-sided.