Curico Unido vs Cobreloa

Cobreloa look slightly more likely to edge the match, with a stronger overall record (9W 5D 2L) than Curicó Unido (4W 6D 6L). They also have the better goal profile, scoring 34 versus 17 and conceding 19 versus 26, which supports their higher away win probability (41.4%) compared with Curicó’s home win (32.3%). Even with that, the match is still set up for goals at both ends. Curicó Unido have conceded 26 in 16 games and Cobreloa have scored 34, so the combination points toward both teams finding scoring chances. This aligns with the both teams to score probability of 58.2%. The overall goal expectation is moderate rather than extreme, with over 2.5 goals at 54.3%. Curicó’s recent form includes two wins but also a loss in their last five (LDWWL), while Cobreloa’s recent form is steadier (WDWDW), which helps explain why BTTS is favored but not overwhelmingly. With BTTS Yes at a 70 confidence score and a medium risk level, the main uncertainty is whether Curicó can convert enough chances to score despite Cobreloa’s relatively solid defensive record (19 conceded, 4 clean sheets).