Liga Pro Serie B
Finished
High risk

Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo result & prediction review

3–3Full time
Thu, Aug 13, 08:30 PM

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 70/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Cumbayá (LDLLW) project at 1 expected goals versus 0.9 for Santo Domingo (DWWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 70/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

70/100

Confidence
70/100

Strongest cover

1X

69.0% probability

Risk classification

High

32.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

C win36.6%
Draw32.4%
SD win31%

Goals

Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Under 2.569.4%

Both teams to score

Yes39.2%
No60.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Cumbayá

4/15 recent form points

LDLLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.15
Shots on target
Unavailable

Santo Domingo

10/15 recent form points

DWWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.88
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/3 and Over 2.5 in 2/3.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Santo Domingo 2-1 Cumbayá

2026-09-04T02:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Cumbayá 3-3 Santo Domingo

2026-08-13T22:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Santo Domingo 0-0 Cumbayá

2026-05-23T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Cumbayá vs Santo Domingo. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-3

Pre-kickoff call

Under 2.5 Goals · 66.5% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.1215 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 13 Aug 2026 03:02 UTC, before kickoff at 1.40 (Bet365), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

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Team hubs: Cumbayá predictions · Santo Domingo predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.