CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
0–0Full timeThu, Jul 30, 06:00 PMVasil Levski National Sports Academy
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Under 2.5 Goals
CSKA Sofia (WWD) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.2 for Qarabag (WWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 60/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
60/100
Confidence
60/100
Head-to-Head
Qarabag 0-0 CSKA Sofia
2026-07-23T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
CSKA Sofia 0-1 Qarabag
2023-07-04T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
CSKA Sofia 0-1 Qarabag
2021-07-07T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
0-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 58.5% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1254 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:30 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
