CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

CSKA Sofia at home has been very solid in this small sample, with 4 wins and 1 draw from 5 matches, plus 3 clean sheets and only 3 goals conceded. Their recent form is also strong overall, with a run of WW D W W, which supports the idea that they can control the game more often than not. Maccabi Tel Aviv’s away profile looks much weaker in the provided stats, with 8 losses in 12 matches and only 10 goals scored while conceding 26. Their recent form is consistently poor (LLLLL), and they have just 1 clean sheet across the 12 matches, which suggests they struggle to keep games tight. The goal-related indicators are mixed: over 2.5 goals is slightly more likely than not at 53.0%, and both teams to score is also close to even at 47.2%. That makes a home win plausible, but not guaranteed, since the scoring pattern isn’t strongly one-sided. With the home win probability at 73.1% and a confidence score of 44 with high risk, the matchup leans toward CSKA Sofia, but the relatively uncertain goal expectations mean the result could still swing if Maccabi manages to score or if the game stays unusually low scoring.