CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov

CSKA Moscow at home have a stronger overall record than Krylia Sovetov away, with CSKA 15W 6D 9L versus Krylia’s 8W 8D 14L. CSKA also look more secure defensively, conceding 33 goals at home compared with Krylia conceding 50 on the road, and CSKA have more clean sheets (7 vs 6). In attack, CSKA’s 44 goals scored outpace Krylia’s 35, which supports the home side creating more chances across the match. The recent form also leans toward CSKA, with DDLWW compared to Krylia’s LWWLW, though Krylia’s sequence includes some wins that keep the away side from looking one-sided. The goal outlook is fairly balanced but slightly favors a match with goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53.0% and both teams to score at 53.3%. That aligns with CSKA’s edge in scoring and defense, while Krylia’s ability to win some recent games suggests they can still contribute offensively. Given the home win probability is 60.5% but only a 53 confidence score with high risk, the most reasonable lean is CSKA to win, while the draw remains a meaningful alternative if the match stays tight.