CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense

Herediano at home have been relatively solid defensively, with 18 clean sheets and 34 goals conceded across 40 matches. Their recent form includes two wins and two losses in the last five results (DWDLW), which suggests they can control games but are not consistently dominant. Alajuelense away have also kept things tight, with 17 clean sheets and 34 goals conceded in 40 matches. Their recent run is slightly steadier (DWDWL), and they have scored more overall than Herediano (66 vs 52), but the defensive numbers for both sides are similar, which can limit the number of goals. With both teams conceding at comparable rates and each having many clean sheets, the match profile leans toward fewer goals. The probabilities reflect this balance: both teams to score is just under a coin flip (47.5%), and over 2.5 goals is slightly below that (40.7%), supporting an Under 2.5 Goals lean, though not strongly. Confidence is moderate and risk is high because the attacking output differs (Alajuelense higher scoring), and the recent form for both teams includes results that could still produce a higher-scoring game.