Cruz Azul vs New York City FC

Cruz Azul at home has a stronger recent run, going LWW in their last three matches, and they’ve taken 2 wins from 3 overall. Their season numbers show 5 goals scored but 10 conceded, with no clean sheets, which suggests they can score but also allow chances. New York City FC’s away form is less consistent, with LWL in their last three and only 1 win from 3. They’ve conceded 5 in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet, which points to some defensive stability, even though their scoring output is lower with 3 goals. The home win lean is supported by Cruz Azul’s better win rate and recent form, but the high risk reflects that Cruz Azul’s defense has been leaky (10 conceded) and NYCFC has shown the ability to keep games tighter at times (1 clean sheet). A draw is also plausible given NYCFC’s relatively low goals conceded. For goals, both teams to score looks slightly more likely than not (56.4%), and over 2.5 goals is also favored (52.8%). That aligns with Cruz Azul’s tendency to concede and NYCFC’s ability to contribute offensively, even if neither side has been dominant in scoring.