Crewe vs Accrington ST

Accrington look slightly more likely to edge the match, with the away win probability at 41.7% versus 33.1% for Crewe and 25.2% for a draw. That aligns with Accrington’s better start in this sample, winning 2 of 3 away matches while Crewe has only one game played and has yet to avoid conceding. Both teams to score is supported by the goal profiles. Crewe have scored 1 and conceded 3 in their only match, while Accrington have scored 5 and conceded 4 across three matches, with zero clean sheets for either side. With both sides showing they can find goals and also allow them, BTTS Yes sits at 57.5%. The over 2.5 goals angle is also moderately supported at 53.1%. Crewe’s 1-3 result and Accrington’s 5-4 aggregate across three games suggest the match could produce multiple goals, though the overall confidence is limited given the small sample sizes. With confidence at 35 and risk marked high, this is best viewed as a plausible goal-driven outcome rather than a strong lean toward a specific result.