Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin

Cracovia Krakow at home has a slightly stronger overall record than Pogon Szczecin’s away record, with Cracovia at 9W 15D 10L versus Pogon’s 13W 6D 15L overall. The goal profile is also close: Cracovia has 39 scored and 42 conceded, while Pogon has 47 scored and 49 conceded, suggesting neither side dominates in scoring or defense. Recent form is a key uncertainty. Cracovia’s last five results are all draws (DDDDD), which points to difficulty turning matches into wins, while Pogon’s recent sequence includes a loss and a win mix (DWLWD), implying more variability and a bit more chance of decisive outcomes. For goals, the lean is toward a match with at least moderate scoring. The over 2.5 goals probability is 48.8%, and both teams to score is 53.5%, which aligns with the relatively similar goals for and against from both teams. Given the home win probability is 44.4% versus 28.5% for Pogon and 27.1% for a draw, a home win is plausible but not strongly supported, so the outlook is fairly high risk. The draw risk remains meaningful because of Cracovia’s recent run of draws.