AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 75/100
Coritiba (WWLLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.2 for Cruzeiro (DWDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
75/100
Cruzeiro 1-2 Coritiba
2026-02-06T01:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Coritiba 1-0 Cruzeiro
2023-11-11T20:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cruzeiro 0-0 Coritiba
2023-07-16T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Coritiba 0-3 Cruzeiro
2021-10-09T02:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro 0-0 Coritiba
2021-07-07T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Coritiba 1-0 Cruzeiro
2017-10-18T23:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
12
73.5% probability
Risk classification
Medium
26.5% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Coritiba
7/15 recent form points
Cruzeiro
8/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Cruzeiro 2-0 Coritiba
2017-06-25T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cruzeiro 2-2 Coritiba
2016-08-14T21:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Coritiba 1-0 Cruzeiro
2016-05-15T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cruzeiro 2-0 Coritiba
2015-09-27T23:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.