Colorado Rapids vs Austin

Colorado at home have a slightly better overall record than Austin on the road, with 6W 1D 10L versus 4W 5D 8L. Their goal profile is also marginally stronger, scoring 26 and conceding 25, while Austin score 22 and concede 35, suggesting Colorado are more likely to create and limit chances at this matchup. The recent form leans Colorado’s way as well, with WLLWL compared to Austin’s LLLWL. Both teams have four clean sheets across 17 matches, so a shutout isn’t guaranteed, but Colorado’s defensive concession rate looks more favorable than Austin’s. The market-style outputs align with this: Colorado win is estimated at 59.5% versus 18.8% for Austin, with a draw at 21.7%. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 60.1%, and both teams to score at 59.2%, which points to a game where Colorado can edge the result without necessarily keeping it completely one-sided. With a confidence score of 74 and risk level listed as Medium, the home win looks plausible, but the relatively high both-teams-to-score and over-2.5 projections suggest there is still room for Austin to contribute offensively.