Colombia W vs Mexico W

Mexico W look slightly more likely to win away, with a stronger overall record in these four matches (3W 1D 0L) compared with Colombia W’s 2W 1D 1L. Mexico also have a much tighter defense, conceding only 1 goal versus Colombia’s 3, and they’ve kept 3 clean sheets compared with Colombia’s 2. The recent form supports that lean: Mexico’s last four results are DWWW, while Colombia’s are WLWD. With Mexico’s combination of better results and fewer goals conceded, the away win probability comes out highest at 45.5%, though the draw is still close at 26.1%, so the edge isn’t overwhelming. On scoring, both teams appear capable of finding goals. Mexico have scored 12 across 4 matches and Colombia 10 across 4, and the market-style probabilities suggest both teams to score is slightly favored at 52.9%, with over 2.5 goals at 47.3%. Overall, an away win is the most likely single outcome, but the relatively high draw chance and only moderate over-2.5 likelihood keep confidence limited, aligning with the higher risk level.