Collina d'Oro vs Gambarogno - Contone
3–0Full timeThu, Jul 30, 06:00 PM
AI prediction
Home Win
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Home Win
Collina d'Oro (DW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 0.8 for Gambarogno - Contone (D). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
35/100
Confidence
35/100
Head-to-Head
Collina d'Oro 1-1 Gambarogno - Contone
2024-05-25T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Gambarogno - Contone 1-2 Collina d'Oro
2023-10-28T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Gambarogno - Contone 0-2 Collina d'Oro
2023-04-06T20:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Collina d'Oro 1-1 Gambarogno - Contone
2022-09-17T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Collina d'Oro vs Gambarogno - Contone.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2026 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
3-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 63.6% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.1914 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 17:49 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.