Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno

Sportivo Luqueno look slightly more likely to take points, with a better overall record away from home (7W 4D 11L) than San Lorenzo’s home record (0W 1D 3L). Luqueno also have a higher scoring output across their season (27 scored vs 1 for San Lorenzo), which supports the idea that the away side can create chances even if results have been mixed. The strongest signal in the numbers is both teams scoring. San Lorenzo have conceded 7 in just 4 matches and have no clean sheets, while Luqueno have 6 clean sheets across 22 matches, implying they do keep some games tight but also allow goals often enough. With Luqueno’s recent form including losses and San Lorenzo’s recent form being all defeats, the match profile still points toward goals at both ends rather than a shutout. The goal expectation is moderate rather than extreme, with over 2.5 goals at 48.2% and BTTS Yes at 53.7%. That combination suggests a fairly open game is plausible, but it’s not a clear-cut outcome, which aligns with the relatively low confidence score and high risk level. Overall, the data leans toward BTTS Yes, with Luqueno’s ability to score being the key driver, while San Lorenzo’s lack of clean sheets and high concession rate keeps the door open for them to contribute at least once.