AI prediction
Club Atletico Barinas (WLWWL) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1.2 for Real Frontera (LLLLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
74/100
Real Frontera 0-1 Club Atletico Barinas
2026-06-24T21:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Real Frontera 4-3 Club Atletico Barinas
2026-04-26T21:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Club Atletico Barinas 2-1 Real Frontera
2026-03-01T20:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 14:53 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Home Win
Confidence 74/100
Strongest cover
1X
82.6% probability
Risk classification
Medium
23.0% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Club Atletico Barinas
9/15 recent form points
Real Frontera
0/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/3 and Over 2.5 in 2/3.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Bet365Best price +4.6% |
| 5.00 |
| 20.0% |
| 17.4% |
| -2.6% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.4% | -2.6% |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 20.8% | 17.4% | -3.4% |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 20.8% | 17.4% | -3.4% |
| 10Bet | 4.75 | 21.1% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 23.1% | 17.4% | -5.7% |
Draw 1X2 | 10BetBest price +2.9% | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.0% | -3.3% |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.0% | -3.3% |
| Marathonbet | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.0% | -3.3% |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 26.7% | 23.0% | -3.7% |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23.0% | -4.8% |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 29.4% | 23.0% | -6.4% |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +4.4% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 59.6% | -2.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 64.1% | 59.6% | -4.5% |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 59.6% | -4.9% |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 64.5% | 59.6% | -4.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 59.6% | -5.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 59.6% | -7.1% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.6% | 2.20 | 45.5% | 43.0% | -2.5% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 45.5% | 43.0% | -2.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 43.0% | -4.6% |
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 48.8% | 43.0% | -5.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 53.5% | 43.0% | -10.5% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.3% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 57.0% | -3.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 61.0% | 57.0% | -4.0% |
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.0% | -5.5% |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.0% | -5.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 57.0% | -9.7% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +8.8% | 2.20 | 45.5% | 44.2% | -1.3% |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 48.8% | 44.2% | -4.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 49.8% | 44.2% | -5.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 54.6% | 44.2% | -10.4% |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +4.8% | 1.70 | 58.8% | 55.8% | -3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.8% | -4.4% |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 62.5% | 55.8% | -6.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 65.4% | 55.8% | -9.6% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +3.5% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 0.0% | -43.5% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 0.0% | -43.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 0.0% | -44.4% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 46.5% | 0.0% | -46.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 46.9% | 0.0% | -46.9% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +6.1% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| 10Bet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.8% | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| 10Bet | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 95.2% | 0.0% | -95.2% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.