Cheltenham vs Charlton

Cheltenham at home has a mixed start but shows some defensive stability, with 1 clean sheet in 2 matches and a 1W 0D 1L record. They’ve scored 2 and conceded 3, suggesting relatively tight margins rather than a high-scoring home profile. Charlton’s away record is also 1W 0D 1L, but their goals for and against are more even, with 4 scored and 4 conceded and no clean sheets. Their recent form is also WL, which keeps the match from looking one-sided despite the lack of defensive shutouts. The home win lean is supported by the overall probabilities provided, with Cheltenham at 53.3% versus Charlton at 22.8% and a draw at 23.9%. There’s also a moderate expectation of goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53.9% and both teams to score at 56.6%, which fits a scenario where Charlton can contribute even if Cheltenham edges the result. With a confidence score of 38 and a high risk level, the prediction isn’t strongly secure; the draw and the possibility of both teams scoring keep outcomes fairly open.