Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Charleroi at home has a balanced but slightly stronger profile than OH Leuven away, with Charleroi’s record reading 14W 9D 17L versus Leuven’s 10W 10D 20L. Their goals are also level at 50 scored and 50 conceded, while Leuven have 41 scored and 60 conceded, suggesting Charleroi may be more comfortable controlling games at their end. The recent form leans marginally toward Charleroi, with WWLDW compared to Leuven’s DLWDL. That pattern fits the probabilities showing a home win edge at 53.1% versus 21.3% for an away win, even though the draw remains a meaningful 25.6%. For goals, the matchup is close to a coin flip, with over 2.5 goals at 48.0%. Both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 51.1%, which aligns with Charleroi conceding 50 across the season and Leuven’s 60 conceded, indicating chances for both sides rather than a clear shutout scenario. Overall, the home win call is plausible but not strongly supported, reflected in the 55 confidence and high risk level. A draw or a low-scoring game would be consistent with the relatively tight goal expectation and Leuven’s ability to avoid defeat in some recent stretches.