CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

New England look slightly more balanced defensively, with 19 goals conceded in 16 away matches and 4 clean sheets, compared with Montreal’s 33 conceded in 17 home matches and 4 clean sheets. That defensive gap suggests New England can limit Montreal’s scoring, but it doesn’t fully rule out goals at both ends. Montreal’s home record is weak overall (4W 3D 10L) and their recent form is poor (LDDLL), yet they still average about 1.29 goals scored per home match (22 in 17). New England’s away scoring is also solid, averaging about 1.63 goals per match (26 in 16), and their recent form is mixed but not disastrous (LWLDW). With both teams to score at 59.1% and over 2.5 goals at 55.2%, the matchup profile leans toward a game where each side finds chances rather than a clean shutout. The higher risk level fits this: the home side’s results and form are inconsistent, so the “both teams score” outcome is plausible but not guaranteed. If you’re choosing between outcomes, the draw and both-teams-to-score scenarios look more supported than a one-sided result, with away win probability (37.8%) only slightly above home win (35.9%).