Central Norte vs Los Andes
1–0Full timeSun, Aug 2, 07:30 PMEstadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Central Norte (DWDLL) project at 0.8 expected goals versus 1 for Los Andes (WLLWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 69/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
69/100
Confidence
69/100
Head-to-Head
Los Andes 0-0 Central Norte
2026-03-14T18:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Los Andes look more solid defensively, conceding just 8 goals in 21 matches and keeping 14 clean sheets. Central Norte have scored 13 goals overall and are coming off a mixed run of DWDLL, which suggests they may struggle to consistently find scoring chances against a strong away defense.
The goal totals also point toward a lower-scoring game. Central Norte’s 13 scored versus Los Andes’ 8 conceded implies limited scoring opportunities for the home side, while Los Andes’ 19 scored indicates they can create goals but not necessarily at a rate that forces a high total.
The market probabilities align with this direction: both teams to score is 35.2%, and over 2.5 goals is 26.5%. With draw probability at 33.3% and away win at 39.8%, the profile fits a match where Los Andes can edge it without a large goal count.
So an Under 2.5 Goals outcome is favored with a medium risk level (confidenceScore 69), though the away win and the possibility of a single decisive goal keep it from being fully one-sided.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 73.5% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
