Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo

Central Cordoba de Santiago have struggled to convert results recently, with a recent run of WDLLL and a season record of 4W 4D 10L. They’ve scored 11 goals in 18 matches and conceded 24, which suggests they can be contained, even if they’re not especially secure defensively. San Lorenzo’s season profile is more balanced, with 6W 7D 6L and 17 goals scored versus 18 conceded. Their clean sheets are relatively strong at 10, and their recent form WLLLW points to some inconsistency, but also indicates they can keep games from turning into high-scoring affairs. The goal-related probabilities lean toward fewer goals: over 2.5 goals is at 34.7%, while both teams to score is 42.8%, implying that even when goals happen, it may not be in a way that produces three or more total. With Central Cordoba’s low scoring output and San Lorenzo’s clean-sheet rate, an Under 2.5 goals outcome looks plausible, though the high risk reflects how close the win/draw/lose split is and how uncertain recent form can be. So the Under 2.5 goals call aligns with the lower over-2.5 probability, but it’s not a lock given the moderate chance of both teams scoring and the overall match volatility.