Celtic vs Dundee

Celtic at home have been strong across the season, with 26 wins from 38 matches and a solid goal record of 73 scored and 41 conceded. They also kept 13 clean sheets, which suggests they can control games defensively, and their recent form is very strong with five straight wins. Dundee’s away record is more mixed, with 11 wins and 18 losses from 38 matches, and they have scored 42 while conceding 61. Their recent form is inconsistent, including a recent loss, which points to less reliability when traveling. The matchup profile supports a Celtic home win, with Celtic’s stronger results and better defensive output compared to Dundee’s weaker away scoring and higher concession rate. The draw is still plausible given Dundee’s ability to pick up points at times, but the overall balance favors Celtic. There’s also a moderate lean toward goals, with both teams to score slightly more likely than not (53.2%) and over 2.5 goals at 57.7%. With a confidence score of 52 and a high risk level, the home win looks reasonable, but it’s not a lock.