Carlos A. Mannucci (DWWWL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 0.9 for Deportiva Agropecuaria (DDLDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 64/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
64/100
Deportiva Agropecuaria 0-0 Carlos A. Mannucci
2026-04-18T22:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Deportiva Agropecuaria 1-1 Carlos A. Mannucci
2025-06-21T22:15:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Carlos A. Mannucci 0-1 Deportiva Agropecuaria
2025-05-03T20:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Final score
2-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 59.0% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 64/100
Strongest cover
1X
77.4% probability
Risk classification
Medium
28.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Carlos A. Mannucci
10/15 recent form points
Deportiva Agropecuaria
6/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/3 and Over 2.5 in 0/3.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Away 1X2 |
| Bet365Best price +6.9% |
| 4.10 |
| 24.4% |
| 22.6% |
| -1.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.86 | 25.9% | 22.6% | -3.3% |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 26.3% | 22.6% | -3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.80 | 26.3% | 22.6% | -3.7% |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 26.7% | 22.6% | -4.1% |
| 10Bet | 3.70 | 27.0% | 22.6% | -4.4% |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +2.7% | 3.16 | 31.6% | 28.6% | -3.0% |
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 34.5% | 28.6% | -5.9% |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +3.2% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.8% | -2.5% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.8% | -3.6% |
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 48.8% | -3.8% |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 52.9% | 48.8% | -4.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 53.8% | 48.8% | -5.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 54.6% | 48.8% | -5.8% |
Over 2.5 Totals | UnibetBest price +4.0% | 2.28 | 43.9% | 41.7% | -2.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.7% | -3.8% |
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 46.5% | 41.7% | -4.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.14 | 46.7% | 41.7% | -5.0% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.4% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 58.3% | -2.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 61.7% | 58.3% | -3.4% |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 58.3% | -6.2% |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 58.3% | -8.4% |
Yes BTTS | UnibetBest price +4.6% | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | -2.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 52.1% | 46.8% | -5.3% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 52.4% | 46.8% | -5.6% |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +4.0% | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% | -2.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.2% | -4.6% |
| Unibet | 1.66 | 60.2% | 53.2% | -7.0% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.6% | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 0.0% | -57.8% |
| Unibet | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.3% | 1.35 | 74.1% | 0.0% | -74.1% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Unibet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.8% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| Unibet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
Ranked probability score
0.1588 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sun, 02 Aug 2026 19:20 UTC, before kickoff at 1.61 (Marathonbet), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.