Caracas FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC

Caracas FC at home has a slightly stronger overall profile than Estudiantes de Merida FC away, with Caracas recording 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses in 13 home matches versus Estudiantes’ 7 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses across 19 away matches. Caracas also has a marginally better goal difference at this stage, scoring 15 and conceding 17 at home, while Estudiantes score 23 and concede 26 away. The recent form leans toward Caracas more than Estudiantes. Caracas’ last five results are DWLDW, while Estudiantes’ last five are LLLLL, which suggests Estudiantes are struggling to generate results consistently right now. For goals, the matchup looks fairly balanced rather than one-sided. The probabilities indicate a slight lean toward both teams scoring (52.8%) and a modest chance of over 2.5 total goals (48.9%), so a narrow game or a match with limited scoring is plausible. Overall, the home win call is supported by the combination of Caracas’ steadier recent form and Estudiantes’ prolonged losing streak, but the confidence is only medium because the goal and scoring indicators are close to even and Estudiantes are not completely outmatched on season totals.