Carabobo FC vs Trujillanos FC

Carabobo FC at home has a stronger overall record than Trujillanos FC away, with Carabobo going 8W 9D 3L across 20 matches versus Trujillanos’ 1W 4D 9L across 14. Carabobo also has the better goal profile, scoring 35 and conceding 20, while Trujillanos scores 11 and concedes 26, which supports a home edge. The recent form also leans toward Carabobo, with a run of WWDWW, while Trujillanos’ latest results are mostly losses (LLLLW). That combination of home performance, goal difference, and form makes a Carabobo win more likely than either a draw or an away upset. For match dynamics, the probabilities suggest a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals (55.7%) and a near-even likelihood of both teams scoring (49.7%). With Carabobo’s stronger defense at home (8 clean sheets) and Trujillanos’ lower scoring output, a home win is favored, though not overwhelmingly, which aligns with the medium risk level. Overall, the home win probability is 71.9% compared with 17.8% for a draw and 10.3% for an away win, so the prediction leans toward Carabobo, with some uncertainty remaining due to the relatively close goal-scoring indicators.