AI prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
Canberra Olympic (LLLWD) project at 2 expected goals versus 2 for Tuggeranong United (WWWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 59/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
59/100
Tuggeranong United 6-4 Canberra Olympic
2026-05-09T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tuggeranong United 4-1 Canberra Olympic
2024-08-18T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic
2024-06-23T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Canberra Olympic 1-2 Tuggeranong United
2024-05-04T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tuggeranong United 1-0 Canberra Olympic
2023-08-12T09:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Canberra Olympic 2-2 Tuggeranong United
2023-06-17T07:00:00+02:00
This forecast was recorded on Sat, 01 Aug 2026 03:34 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 59/100
Strongest cover
12
77.3% probability
Risk classification
High
22.7% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
45 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Canberra Olympic
4/15 recent form points
Tuggeranong United
12/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 5/9.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
BTTS
Over 2.5
Tuggeranong United 0-3 Canberra Olympic
2023-04-30T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Tuggeranong United 1-1 Canberra Olympic
2021-08-10T11:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Canberra Olympic 1-1 Tuggeranong United
2021-05-22T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +8.8% | 4.10 | 24.4% | 22.7% | -1.7% |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 25.0% | 22.7% | -2.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.82 | 26.2% | 22.7% | -3.5% | |
| Unibet | 3.80 | 26.3% | 22.7% | -3.6% | |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 28.6% | 22.7% | -5.9% | |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 29.4% | 22.7% | -6.7% | |
Away 1X2 | UnibetBest price +4.5% | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.6% | -2.4% |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 40.8% | 37.6% | -3.2% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.6% | -4.1% | |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 41.7% | 37.6% | -4.1% | |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 42.6% | 37.6% | -5.0% | |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 44.4% | 37.6% | -6.8% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +2.4% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.7% | -3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.7% | -3.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.7% | -3.8% | |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 39.7% | -4.7% | |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 45.9% | 39.7% | -6.2% | |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 46.5% | 39.7% | -6.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.3% | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.7% |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.7% | |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26.9% | -1.7% | |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 35.7% | 26.9% | -8.8% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.5% | 1.28 | 78.1% | 73.1% | -5.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 73.1% | -8.9% | |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 73.1% | -8.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 84.7% | 73.1% | -11.6% | |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +17.4% | 3.55 | 28.2% | 29.2% | +1.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29.2% | -10.8% | |
Yes BTTS | BetVictorBest price +1.2% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 70.8% | -9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 70.8% | -11.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +1.9% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +3.7% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 0.0% | -72.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price +2.4% | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.