Canada U20 (WD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1 for Honduras U20 (LD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
58/100
Honduras U20 2-2 Canada U20
2024-07-21T04:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Final score
1-1
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 59.7% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.1937 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 58/100
Strongest cover
1X
80.1% probability
Risk classification
High
25.2% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Canada U20
4/6 recent form points
Honduras U20
1/6 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.