Bucaramanga vs Cucuta
1–141′Tue, Aug 4, 01:00 AM
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 75/100
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Bucaramanga (LDLWD) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1 for Cucuta (WLDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
75/100
Confidence
75/100
Head-to-Head
Cucuta 2-2 Bucaramanga
2026-01-27T22:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bucaramanga 1-0 Cucuta
2020-10-27T02:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cucuta 0-1 Bucaramanga
2020-03-02T00:10:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Cucuta 2-0 Bucaramanga
2019-09-07T22:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bucaramanga 2-0 Cucuta
2019-08-12T03:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bucaramanga 2-2 Cucuta
2019-04-26T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Model reasoning
Bucaramanga at home looks more solid than Cucuta overall, with a 6W 9D 6L home record and a positive goal difference from 28 scored and 21 conceded. They also have more clean sheets than Cucuta (8 vs 3), which supports the idea that they can limit the opposition.
Cucuta’s away profile is weaker, with 3W 7D 10L and 23 scored versus 40 conceded. Their recent form is also less convincing (WLDLL), while Bucaramanga’s recent sequence (LDLWD) suggests they’ve been able to pick up points more consistently.
The match leans toward a home win, with the probabilities showing 61.5% for Bucaramanga versus 16.3% for Cucuta and 22.2% for a draw. There’s also a slight lean toward over 2.5 goals (53.5%) and both teams to score (52.9%), so the home edge may come with some chance of Cucuta finding goals.
With a confidence score of 75 and medium risk, the home win is the most likely outcome, but the relatively close goal-scoring indicators mean it’s not a lock.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 03 Aug 2026 21:33 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.