Finished

High risk

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura

1–2Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 04:00 PMNogometni park Brinje

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 55/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

Brinje-Grosuplje (WLDDL) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.3 for Mura (DWLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 55/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

55/100

Confidence

55/100

Strongest cover

73.9% probability

Risk classification

High

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

B win40.6%

Draw26.1%

M win33.3%

Goals

Over 1.578.3%

Over 2.554%

Under 2.546%

Both teams to score

Yes57.8%

No42.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Brinje-Grosuplje

5/15 recent form points

WLDDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Mura

7/15 recent form points

DWLLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Mura

2026-08-16T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Brinje-Grosuplje have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 across 5 matches, with 1 clean sheet, which suggests they can allow goals even if they sometimes keep opponents out. Their recent form includes multiple matches where both sides found the net, aligning with a higher chance of both teams scoring. Mura have scored 8 and conceded 11 in 5 matches, also with only 1 clean sheet. Their recent results show a mix of wins and losses, and the goal totals indicate they are capable of scoring but also prone to conceding, which supports the case for both teams to score. The overall probabilities point toward this direction: both teams to score is 57.8%, while over 2.5 goals is 54.0%. With home win at 40.6% and away win at 33.3% plus a 26.1% draw rate, the match script looks more like a game where scoring is shared rather than one team dominating. Confidence is moderate (55) and the risk is high, since neither side has a strong clean-sheet profile and the goal environment is only slightly favorable for BTTS rather than clearly dominant.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-2

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 51.9% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.4358 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:30 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More predictions

All 1. SNL predictions →

Team hubs: Brinje-Grosuplje predictions · Mura predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.