Brindabella (WLLLL) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 2 for Queanbeyan City (WWLDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
75/100
Queanbeyan City 2-0 Brindabella
2024-09-22T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Queanbeyan City 1-1 Brindabella
2024-08-17T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Queanbeyan City 1-1 Brindabella
2024-06-22T04:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Brindabella 3-3 Queanbeyan City
2024-05-04T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 02:06 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 75/100
Strongest cover
X2
91.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
12.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
3 sources
20 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Brindabella
3/15 recent form points
Queanbeyan City
8/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 1/4.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|
Home 1X2 | 9.50 | 10.526315789473683% | 8.3% | -2.2% |
Draw 1X2 | 6.00 | 16.666666666666664% | 12.1% | -4.6% |
Away 1X2 | 1.18 | 84.74576271186442% | 79.6% | -5.1% |
Home 1X2 | 9.50 | 10.526315789473683% | 8.3% | -2.2% |
Draw 1X2 | 7.50 | 13.333333333333334% | 12.1% | -1.2% |
Away 1X2 | 1.18 | 84.74576271186442% | 79.6% | -5.1% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1.28 | 78.125% | 72.3% | -5.8% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 3.50 | 28.57142857142857% | 27.7% | -0.9% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 4.50 | 22.22222222222222% | 0.0% | -22.2% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.07 | 93.45794392523365% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.04 | 96.15384615384615% | 0.0% | -96.2% |
Home 1X2 | 10.50 | 9.523809523809524% | 8.3% | -1.2% |
Draw 1X2 | 7.30 | 13.698630136986301% | 12.1% | -1.6% |
Away 1X2 | 1.14 | 87.71929824561404% | 79.6% | -8.1% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1.25 | 80% | 72.3% | -7.7% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 3.28 | 30.48780487804878% | 27.7% | -2.8% |
Yes BTTS | 1.74 | 57.47126436781609% | 52.7% | -4.8% |
No BTTS | 1.91 | 52.35602094240838% | 47.3% | -5.1% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 4.33 | 23.094688221709006% | 0.0% | -23.1% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.03 | 97.0873786407767% | 0.0% | -97.1% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.