Brann vs Apollon Limassol

Apollon Limassol look slightly more likely to win despite playing away, with their two-match record reading 2W 0D 0L and a stronger goal profile of 7 scored and 0 conceded. Brann at home have 1W 1D 0L with 5 scored and 3 conceded, and their recent form includes a draw, which keeps the outcome from looking one-sided. The draw is also plausible because Brann have not lost in their two matches, and their goals conceded (3) suggest they can be competitive even if they’re not dominating. Still, Apollon’s perfect defensive record with two clean sheets supports the idea that they can control the game enough to edge it. For goals, the match is only moderately likely to go over 2.5 total goals at 48.7%, and both teams to score is more likely than not at 54.1%. That combination fits a scenario where Apollon may win while Brann still manage to find chances, rather than a guaranteed low-scoring shutout. Overall, the away win probability (39.9%) is the highest single outcome, but the confidence is not high and the risk is elevated, since Brann’s unbeaten home record and the relatively close draw probability (27.4%) leave room for a tighter result than the away edge suggests.