Bradford vs Rochdale
2–0Full timeSat, Aug 8, 02:00 PMValley Parade
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Bradford (WWL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for Rochdale (W). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
35/100
Confidence
35/100
Head-to-Head
Bradford 2-0 Rochdale
2026-08-08T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Rochdale 1-0 Bradford
2023-07-29T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Rochdale 0-3 Bradford
2023-04-15T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Bradford 1-2 Rochdale
2023-01-10T20:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Rochdale 0-0 Bradford
2022-01-22T16:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bradford 2-0 Rochdale
2021-10-02T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Model reasoning
Rochdale’s away record is strong so far, with a win in their only match and a goal return of 3 scored and 2 conceded. Bradford at home has been more mixed, scoring 6 and conceding 5 across three matches, with one clean sheet in that sample.
The matchup profile leans toward goals at both ends. Bradford have conceded in most of their games (5 conceded in 3), while Rochdale have already shown they can score away (3 scored) even though their sample size is small.
Both teams to score is supported by the probabilities provided, with BTTS Yes at 60.0% and over 2.5 goals at 56.4%. The overall confidence is relatively low (35) and the risk is high, which fits the limited number of matches, especially for Rochdale.
So a BTTS Yes angle looks plausible, but it’s not a high-conviction call given the small datasets and the closeness of the win/draw/lose outcomes.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-0
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 60.0% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
