Boulogne vs Nancy

Boulogne at home have a slightly better overall record than Nancy, with 9 wins versus Nancy’s 9 wins, but Boulogne have more losses (16 vs 15) and a negative goal difference (34 scored, 49 conceded). Nancy’s away profile is also not dominant, with 35 scored and 52 conceded, and fewer clean sheets than Boulogne (7 vs 9), which suggests both sides can concede. In recent form, Boulogne look weaker, with a run of DLLLL, while Nancy’s form is mixed but steadier at DLDWW. That recent contrast helps explain why the match is close rather than strongly one-sided, even if the home side is the slight lean. The goal outlook is fairly open: both teams have similar scoring totals (34 vs 35) and comparable defensive records (49 vs 52 conceded). With both teams to score at 51.8% and over 2.5 goals at 46.1%, a low-to-mid scoring game is plausible, but not clearly unlikely. Overall, the home win lean (39.6% home, 28.1% draw, 32.3% away) comes with high risk because Boulogne’s recent form is poor and the probabilities for all outcomes are relatively close.