Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia

Botev Vratsa at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Slavia Sofia, with 13 wins versus 12 away wins, and they also have a better goal difference profile this season (36 scored, 32 conceded at home versus 42 scored, 44 conceded away). Their recent form is also more favorable, showing DDWWW in the latest stretch, while Slavia’s recent form is WLLLW. Slavia Sofia’s attack has produced 42 goals across the season, but their defense has conceded 44, which makes them more vulnerable in matches where the opponent can keep pressure. Botev’s 16 clean sheets suggest they can limit scoring opportunities, even if their total goals are not overwhelming. The market lean toward a home win is reflected in the probabilities, with Botev at 49.9% compared with 21.9% for Slavia and 28.2% for a draw. However, the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, since the draw probability is still substantial and Slavia’s ability to score means the home side may not control the game fully. On goals, over 2.5 is at 38.1% and both teams to score is 44.0%, which points to a relatively mixed scoring outlook rather than a clear high-scoring match. That profile fits a closer home result rather than a dominant one, aligning with the home win call but with limited conviction.