Botafogo W vs Fluminense W

Fluminense W look more solid defensively than Botafogo W. Fluminense have conceded 16 goals in 14 matches and kept 5 clean sheets, while Botafogo have conceded 30 and have 0 clean sheets, suggesting Fluminense can limit scoring opportunities. Botafogo W’s attack has been very low output, with only 8 goals in 14 matches and a recent run of five straight losses. That profile aligns with a lower-scoring game, especially against a Fluminense side that has been conceding relatively little overall. The goal-market probabilities also point toward fewer goals. Over 2.5 goals sits at 45.5%, while both teams to score is 51.0%, so the most consistent angle is that the match is closer to a tight scoreline than a high-scoring one. With the under 2.5 goals call carrying medium risk, the main uncertainty is that Fluminense’s away results include some variability (recent form includes two losses and a win), so a single open game could push it over 2.5. Still, the season defensive gap and Botafogo’s low scoring support the under.