Botafogo PB (WWWWW) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1 for Santa Cruz (LWWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
68/100
Santa Cruz 2-1 Botafogo PB
2023-01-07T23:15:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Santa Cruz 1-1 Botafogo PB
2021-09-25T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Botafogo PB 1-0 Santa Cruz
2021-07-25T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Santa Cruz 0-1 Botafogo PB
2021-04-10T23:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Santa Cruz 1-0 Botafogo PB
2020-10-25T22:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Botafogo PB 1-2 Santa Cruz
2020-08-23T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
2-2
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 59.4% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 68/100
Strongest cover
1X
76.1% probability
Risk classification
Medium
28.0% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Botafogo PB
15/15 recent form points
Santa Cruz
9/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 3/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Santa Cruz 1-1 Botafogo PB
2019-07-14T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Botafogo PB 1-1 Santa Cruz
2019-05-14T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Botafogo PB 2-0 Santa Cruz
2018-07-22T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Santa Cruz 2-3 Botafogo PB
2018-05-20T00:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Ranked probability score
0.1442 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 08 Aug 2026 19:22 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.