Pre-match

High risk

Bologna vs Inter prediction

Sat, Oct 17, 04:00 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 57/100

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

Bologna (LLDLD) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.5 for Inter (WWWWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 57/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

57/100

Confidence

57/100

Strongest cover

79.0% probability

Risk classification

High

24.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

B win21%

Draw24.1%

I win54.9%

Goals

Over 1.573.5%

Over 2.547.5%

Under 2.552.5%

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%

No48.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Bologna

2/15 recent form points

LLDLD

xG / match: 1.43
xGA / match: 1.21
Goals / match: 0.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Inter

13/15 recent form points

WWWWD

xG / match: 3.11
xGA / match: 1.49
Goals / match: 3.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

B derived xG

1.46

I derived xG

2.16

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.62. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Bologna 3-3 Inter

2026-05-23T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Inter 3-1 Bologna

2026-01-04T20:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Bologna 1-1 Inter

2025-12-19T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Bologna 1-0 Inter

2025-04-20T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Inter 2-2 Bologna

2025-01-15T20:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Bologna 0-1 Inter

2024-03-09T18:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Inter 1-2 Bologna

2023-12-20T21:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Inter 2-2 Bologna

2023-10-07T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Bologna 1-0 Inter

2023-02-26T12:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Inter 6-1 Bologna

2022-11-09T20:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Bologna vs Inter. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

More Serie A predictions

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Team hubs: Bologna predictions · Inter predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.