Bokelj vs Sutjeska

Sutjeska’s away record is stronger than Bokelj’s home record, with Sutjeska winning 22 of 36 away matches versus Bokelj’s 9 wins in 38 at home. Sutjeska also has the better goal profile overall, scoring 61 and conceding 36 away, while Bokelj scores 40 and concedes 48 at home. Even with Sutjeska’s edge, the goal totals suggest a more contained game. Bokelj’s home scoring rate is relatively modest (40 in 38), and their 48 conceded indicates they can allow goals, but not necessarily at a pace that guarantees a high-scoring match. Sutjeska’s defense is comparatively solid (36 conceded in 36 away), which can limit the number of goals. The probabilities lean toward fewer goals than a typical open game: both teams to score is 45.5%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 39.9%. With those figures, Under 2.5 goals fits better than Over 2.5, though the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high because the match could still produce goals if both teams find scoring rhythm. Given the matchup, a low-scoring outcome is plausible, but not assured. The draw probability is also relatively high (31.0%), which often aligns with games that don’t exceed 2.5 total goals.