Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

Bodo/Glimt at home have been strong, with 11 wins in 15 matches and a very solid defensive record of 11 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets. Their recent form is also favorable, showing four straight wins after a draw, which supports the idea that they can control the game. Lillestrom’s away record is less convincing, with 5 losses in 14 matches and 14 goals conceded. They have scored 22 away goals, but their recent form is mixed, with two straight losses before recovering with two wins, suggesting inconsistency on the road. The match profile points toward a home edge: the home win probability is 60.8% versus 22.4% for a draw and 16.8% for an away win. There’s also a slight lean toward goals, with over 2.5 goals at 53.1% and both teams to score at 53.0%, so a comfortable home win is plausible, though not guaranteed. With a confidence score of 71 and medium risk, the home win looks like the most likely outcome, but the close-to-even goal indicators mean the result could still be tighter than a dominant margin.