UEFA Europa League
Pre-match
High risk

Beşiktaş vs Hradec Králové

Thu, Aug 13, 05:00 PMBesiktas Park

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 35/100

Model verdict
High risk

Away Win

Beşiktaş (LL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.4 for Hradec Králové (WWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

X2

77.2% probability

Risk classification

High

24.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

B win22.8%
Draw24.4%
HK win52.8%

Goals

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%

Both teams to score

Yes51%
No49%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Beşiktaş

0/6 recent form points

LL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Hradec Králové

6/9 recent form points

WWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.33
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Hradec Králové 0-1 Beşiktaş

2026-08-06T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Hradec Králové’s away record looks stronger in the provided sample, with 2 wins and 1 loss, compared with Beşiktaş’s home run of 0 wins in 2 matches. Hradec also has the better goal profile overall, scoring 4 and conceding 2 away, while Beşiktaş has scored 2 and conceded 6 at home. The match outcome probabilities lean toward Hradec, with away win at 52.8% versus Beşiktaş at 22.8% and a draw at 24.4%. That gap suggests Hradec has the more favorable balance of results and goal difference in these limited games. For goals, both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 51.0%, and over 2.5 goals is at 45.9%, so a tight or moderate-scoring game is plausible rather than a clear high-scoring one. With the away win confidence score at 35 and risk marked high, the edge for Hradec is present but not strong enough to be considered reliable. Overall, the away win aligns with Hradec’s better recent results and defensive concession rate in the provided stats, but the relatively close scoring indicators keep uncertainty elevated.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Tue, 11 Aug 2026 19:56 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Beşiktaş predictions · Hradec Králové predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.