Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu

Beijing Guoan at home have a stronger overall record than Sichuan Jiuniu, with 8 wins from 20 matches versus 7 wins from 21 away matches. Their goal difference is also healthier, scoring 34 and conceding 27, while Sichuan have scored 30 and conceded 37, suggesting Beijing are more likely to control the game at home. The recent form leans slightly toward Beijing Guoan, with WWDDW in their last five compared to Sichuan’s LWLLW. That combination of better home results and steadier recent performances supports the home win direction, though Sichuan’s occasional positive result means it’s not a lock. In terms of scoring, both teams’ profiles point to a fairly open match. Beijing have 34 goals across 20 games and Sichuan have conceded 37 across 21, aligning with the high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (59.9%) and both teams to score (59.1%). With home win probability at 60.3% and a medium risk level, the safer read is Beijing Guoan to win, but the draw remains plausible given Sichuan’s ability to avoid defeat in some recent stretches.