Bay FC W vs NJ/NY Gotham FC W
0–1Full timeThu, Jul 30, 02:00 AMPayPal Park
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Bay FC W (LDWWL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.2 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W (LWWWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 65/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
65/100
Confidence
65/100
Head-to-Head
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 3-0 Bay FC W
2026-04-25T19:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Bay FC W 1-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
2025-09-22T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 2-1 Bay FC W
2025-06-22T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
NJ/NY Gotham FC W 5-1 Bay FC W
2024-10-06T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Bay FC W 0-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC W
2024-05-25T04:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Bay FC W vs NJ/NY Gotham FC W.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
0-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 58.2% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.225 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 01:03 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
