BATE II vs Bumprom

Bumprom look more likely to create results away from home, with a stronger overall record (7W 4D 6L) than BATE II (2W 5D 10L). BATE II have struggled defensively this season, conceding 41 goals in 17 matches and keeping only 1 clean sheet, which increases the chance they allow at least one goal. The goal profile also supports a match where both teams score. BATE II have scored 21 goals in 17 games, while Bumprom have scored 31 and conceded 23, suggesting they can find chances even if BATE II are at home. With Bumprom’s away record and BATE II’s low clean-sheet rate, the “both teams to score” outcome aligns with the provided probabilities. Recent form is mixed and slightly concerning for both sides, with BATE II on five straight losses and Bumprom showing a run that includes a draw. Still, the season-level defensive weakness from BATE II and Bumprom’s ability to score keep the BTTS Yes lean intact. Overall, the probabilities given point to BTTS Yes (63.0%) and over 2.5 goals (61.1%), with a medium risk level and moderate confidence (69). The away win probability is also higher (48.1%), so a scenario where Bumprom score and BATE II respond is a key part of the expectation.