Banfield vs Belgrano Cordoba

Banfield at home have scored 20 goals in 19 matches and conceded 22, with only 5 clean sheets. Their recent form includes several low-output results (DWLWD), which fits a match where scoring may be limited rather than frequent. Belgrano away have been more solid defensively, conceding 18 in 23 matches and keeping 11 clean sheets. Their recent form (WWWLD) suggests they can control games, and their overall goal numbers (27 scored, 18 conceded) point toward a tighter scoring environment. With Banfield’s modest scoring rate and Belgrano’s strong clean-sheet record, the likelihood of the game staying under 2.5 goals is supported by the provided probabilities, where over 2.5 goals sits at 38.4%. The both-teams-to-score probability is 45.9%, which is not negligible, so there is some risk that the match could still produce a couple of goals from both sides. Overall, the under 2.5 goals lean is reasonable but not assured, reflected by the relatively high risk level and the close spread between home win, draw, and away win outcomes.