Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin

Atletico Tucuman at home has a slightly stronger overall record than Sarmiento Junin, with 4 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses across 19 matches, and they’ve kept 8 clean sheets. Their goal record is also marginally better, scoring 17 and conceding 20, which suggests relatively competitive home performances. Sarmiento Junin’s away record is less convincing, with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, and they’ve conceded more than they’ve scored overall (19 scored, 27 conceded). Their recent form is mixed to weak, shown by WLLLW, which includes three losses in their last five results. The market lean toward a home win aligns with these patterns: Atletico Tucuman is rated at 50.2% for a win versus 22.4% for Sarmiento Junin, while the draw remains fairly plausible at 27.4%. For goals, over 2.5 is only 41.9% and both teams to score is 47.0%, so a tight match with limited scoring is more consistent with the numbers than a high-scoring game. With a confidence score of 72 and medium risk, the home win looks like the most likely outcome, but the draw probability and the moderate scoring indicators mean it’s not a clear-cut result.