Atletico-MG vs Juventude

Atletico-MG at home has been relatively solid defensively, conceding 8 goals in 8 matches and keeping 3 clean sheets, but their recent form includes two draws and two losses, suggesting matches can stay competitive rather than one-sided. Juventude away has been strong in both results and defense, with 13 goals scored and only 3 conceded across 5 matches, plus 2 clean sheets. Their recent run is mostly wins, though the single recent loss indicates they are not completely immune to conceding. The matchup profile points toward both teams finding scoring opportunities. The both teams to score probability is 56.1%, and the over 2.5 goals probability is 51.3%, which fits a game where Atletico-MG can score at least once while Juventude’s attack remains productive. With BTTS Yes at a 38 confidence score and a high risk level, this looks more like a plausible outcome than a reliable one, since Atletico-MG’s clean-sheet rate and Juventude’s low goals conceded could still tilt the game toward only one team scoring.