AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Atletico FC (WDWDW) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 0.7 for Santo Domingo (WDLLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 69/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
69/100
Santo Domingo 1-1 Atletico FC
2026-05-15T19:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +8.2% | 5.25 | 19.0% | 17.2% | -1.8% |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 20.0% |
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 06 Aug 2026 16:07 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 69/100
Strongest cover
1X
82.8% probability
Risk classification
Medium
29.3% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Atletico FC
11/15 recent form points
Santo Domingo
5/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| 17.2% |
| -2.8% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 20.0% | 17.2% | -2.8% |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 21.1% | 17.2% | -3.9% |
| 10Bet | 4.60 | 21.7% | 17.2% | -4.5% |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 22.2% | 17.2% | -5.0% |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +5.0% | 3.10 | 32.3% | 29.3% | -3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 33.1% | 29.3% | -3.8% |
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29.3% | -4.0% |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29.3% | -4.0% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29.3% | -6.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 35.7% | 29.3% | -6.4% |
Home 1X2 | 10BetBest price +2.5% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.5% | -3.6% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.5% | -3.6% |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.5% | -4.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.5% | -5.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 59.2% | 53.5% | -5.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 61.7% | 53.5% | -8.2% |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +0.5% | 2.77 | 36.1% | 33.5% | -2.6% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.5% | -2.9% |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.5% | -2.9% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +0.5% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.5% | -4.9% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.5% | -4.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 66.5% | -6.0% |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +5.1% | 2.47 | 40.5% | 38.2% | -2.3% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.2% | -3.5% |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.2% | -3.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 46.5% | 38.2% | -8.3% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +5.0% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 61.8% | -3.6% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 66.7% | 61.8% | -4.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 61.8% | -7.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 61.8% | -11.7% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +7.6% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% |
| 10Bet | 1.95 | 51.3% | 0.0% | -51.3% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 51.3% | 0.0% | -51.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 51.8% | 0.0% | -51.8% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 53.5% | 0.0% | -53.5% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +7.7% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.9% | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| 10Bet | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.09 | 91.7% | 0.0% | -91.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.