Atletico Atlas vs Sacachispas

Atletico Atlas at home have been relatively tight defensively, with 18 goals conceded in 20 matches and 7 clean sheets. Their recent run is mixed, with four wins followed by a loss, and their overall scoring output is modest at 16 goals. Sacachispas away have a stronger scoring profile, with 25 goals in 21 matches, while also keeping things controlled with 16 conceded and 11 clean sheets. Their recent form includes two wins and a draw after a loss, suggesting they can be competitive even when traveling. With both teams’ season totals leaning toward low-to-moderate scoring for Atlas and solid defensive discipline for both sides, the under 2.5 goals angle fits the profile. The probabilities also point to a relatively close match, with under 2.5 supported indirectly by the low share for over 2.5 goals (33.5%) and a moderate chance of both teams scoring (41.7%). Confidence is medium (68) because Sacachispas’ away scoring ability keeps the risk of a higher-scoring game present, even though the defensive records and clean-sheet counts suggest fewer goals overall.